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One-in-10 landlords set to quit - agent’s gloomy forecast

One in 10 landlords plan to exit the sector following the absence of any government help in the Budget.

That’s the claim of London lettings agency Benham and Reeves. 

A survey of landlords commissioned by the agency after last week’s Budget found that 49 per cent were disappointed that whisperings of a potential reintroduction of mortgage relief were unfounded.

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It was hoped that the government would throw the buy-to-let sector a bone following a string of legislative changes that have caused many to exit the sector and 71 per cent of those surveyed by Benham and Reeves stated that they would have also liked to have seen some other form of incentive announced. 

Some 12 per cent of landlords also revealed that they had planned to increase the size of their portfolio but will now refrain, while a further six per cent will still push on with their plans to expand their investment.

However, 10 per cent stated that they will now reduce the size of their portfolio due to a lack of support from the government. What’s more, one in 10 also stated that they plan to exit the sector due to a lack of government incentives to remain.

Director of Benham and Reeves, Marc von Grundherr, comments: “The government has been waging war on buy-to-let investors for quite some time now and many within the sector were hoping that the spring statement would finally see them thrown a sugar lump, rather than shown the stick. 

“Unfortunately this failed to materialise, but while disappointing, the majority of landlords remain unfazed and, let’s face it, unsurprised. Although they have no plans to increase the size of their portfolio, they also won’t be reducing it. 

“However, one in 10 have had enough and with the government failing to incentivize them in any way, they are reducing their portfolios and exiting the sector. With some 2.74m landlords currently operating within the sector with around two properties per landlord, that’s a potential reduction of over half a million rental homes.

“This is, of course, bad news for the nation’s tenants, who will be left with even less choice when it comes to quality accommodation and an even higher commitment when it comes to the cost of renting.”

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    1 In 10 ? I would have thought the number would be much higher, at the present time I'm sitting tight, as much as I would have liked to continue buying I shan't be doing so, if I were leveraged I would be selling to reduce debt, I may well be selling if and when EPC C comes in

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    Yes and whose heard of Benham and Reeves? you'd need a much wider survey to get a likely figure.

     
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    I'm assuming that this is just referring to the budget, i agree with your analysis. I've delayed selling currently as to sell right now you'd have to take a hit.
    I'm hoping next year it will stabilise if the inflation drops away and there is confidence in buying.
    Hindsight is always the best view and I wish that I had sold more over last 18 months, just so glad that I did sell 2 for good price.

     
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    Aye sit but hands at the ready. As all we got/ or going to get is an ombudsman which we will have to pay for a section 21 they are so determined to get rid of. And we must lets Pets in. And they can’t u der stand why the PLLords are selling and not enough houses. They Shoukd buy a house and see how it will be

     
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    Don't leave it too late to sell, Andrew. The Big Seven mortgage lenders have been tightening up new lending on houses and flats that are not EPC Grade C or higher for quite some time. Have you spoken to a first time buyer recently and asked them about the hurdles that the lenders now set for new borrowers? Bank and Building Societies do not wish to co-invest their capital (for 25 years )in energy wasteful, high running costs buildings - that's what EPC Grade D and lower properties are. Have you asked your local domestic Energy Assessor to produce a draft 'as is' EPC for your units using the latest Government software and then asked him to produce a draft predicted EPC showing you the cheapest pathway to just get up to EPC Grade C by one point? That's what I've been doing now for several years with both my domestical and commercial rentals. And it's what all the other landlords I know have been doing. If you don't sell now you will probably only have true Cash Buyers left who can purchase your units. I urge you to sell them as soon as possible.

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    Martin I'm not too much bothered, I have some Cs, I have some that are very nearly a C , the ones that I'll sell won't be suitable for FTB I purchased them in the 90s for peanuts I'll blow them away in the auction room for what ever they make, I have no debt or mortgages to worry about, turning 70 this yr I'm sure I can see my days out in comfort I'm certainly not going to get stressed about all this B S

     
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    I have a beautiful 3 bed Victorian semi that will never reach a C this side of a lottery win ! 💵💵 But I know for sure that when it comes up for sale I will be in danger of being killed in the rush to buy it. There are so few out there for sale the EPC will mean nothing. A desirable area and character property is all that matters… and I have both.

     
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    Quote from the Brent branch of the London Renters' Union:

    "There is no significant "exodus". This is one of the many untruth peddled by landlords & the landlord lobby, the vast majority of whom are making big profits & an unacceptable number who mistreat tenants."

    So there you have it. We are not leaving & we have a 'Landlord lobby'!

    Until the Govt & the tenant groups understand the problem in the PRS they have no chance of solving it. Things are just going to get SO much worse!

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    That quote from the Renters Union brought a smile to my face

     
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    What did that famous French queen say…. Let them eat cake 🎂 😂😂👍🏻👍🏻 Well how about a modern twist…. Let them live in tents ⛺️ 🆘🆘

     
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    Simon, I think you mean 'Let them live in hotels'! The ones provided by councils!

     
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    Well I've certainly been selling up! Two London family houses sold this year and a further 3 bed flat under offer. Can't wait to get rid of the rest as completely had enough! You can't make a business plan when the government keeps moving the goalposts.
    Used to have four properties in Glasgow until it was made untenable to be a Scottish landlord. Now the same in England in my opinion.

     
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    It's very hard to predict the general housing situation. As private Landlord's leave some slack will be taken up, it would seem, by the corporate world, pension funds, Lloyds and now possibly John Lewis and Tesco!
    Most of what is happening currently affects Landlords with mortgages!
    Renters will probably want these new cheap to run square boxes which will be built to a cost. First time and second time buyers will want a nice looking property in a good location with character, in the main.
    It is the current Landlord's whom invested for the long term, whom are mortgaged, that will feel some pain as they adapt to these new circumstances and the same for home owners when their fixed deals end.
    So far I have been able to sell when my properties have become empty, i doubt that will continue as I feel the pinch and become dis-incentivised to remain a Landlord.
    Therefore, there is potential for things to get worse but this is such a huge market that as always there will be some winners and losers.

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    Last summer I was fully intending to buy multiple properties through a limited company structure. I remortgaged some of my personally held properties to fund the deposits. Anyway the market changed dramatically, a mortgage broker monumentally stuffed up a mortgage application for one new property, so I finished up paying cash for it, which used the deposit money for 2 others. I've still not spent some of the money I raised and right now there's nothing attractive to buy.
    So I currently have the option of using that money to either buy something, fully pay off one of my smaller personally held ones, improve multiple existing properties or go on a big holiday and buy a racehorse or sports car.
    Right now I'm keeping every option open. I've got 2 mortgages coming off fixes at the end of April so have reserved but not committed to a new 5 year fix at 4.24% on both. My inclination is to fully pay off one of those mortgages purely because it will give me more options for another remortgage later in the year. Why do so many lenders object to more than 10 mortgaged properties? This week's theory is to consolidate as much borrowing as possible on the properties with the biggest CGT liability. The ones I am least likely to ever sell. By the end of the year I may have consolidated down to 9 mortgages if all goes to plan. That would have the benefit of having several unencumbered properties, any of which could be sold without having to factor in mortgage early redemption penalties.
    That would then leave enough to replace some kitchens and boilers and probably some roofing and double glazing. As I'll be in the 60% tax bracket due to Section 24 for the upcoming tax year it seems like a good time to do some hefty spending on fully deductible repairs and replacements.
    I don't want a racehorse and a sports car would be completely impractical. A cruise is a nice idea for 2024. I quite fancy the Great Lakes.

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    Jo

    I totally agree with your strategy including going on the cruise.

    However be very careful as you will find the cruise company collect your luggage on the last night and dump it on the pier for you to pick up the following morning. Once you go and collect it you won't be allowed back on the ship as your boarding pass will no longer work.

    This happened to my wife and me last November in a no fault disembarkation. No chance to stay on for another few months without paying, no Shelter to fight our corner and no "how to cruise" guide given to us at any time on or before our cruise - seems the law is totally on the side of the fat cat cruise companies!

     
  • Peter  Roberts

    Where do these Stupid people get their statistics from.
    I’m down to 4 now from an original 12.
    I will never ever rent another of my remaining properties again.
    Should they become void they will be sold straight away.
    I used to just sell of one a year for CGT Allowance reasons.
    But now that the Government are cutting into that I’d rather sell and take any hit.

    For them to say it is only 1 in 10 landlords that plan to exit is the sector is the biggest load of bull I’ve ever heard.
    It’s actually more like 60% of all PRS LLs that are selling up and of all of them properties that are being sold only 1 in 8 are being sold to Landlords.
    This simply means that the PRS Lettings are going down at a rapid rate and the Government and Councils are doing nothing whatsoever to stop this. In fact they seem to want the PRS LLs out of the game and that is just what they are going to get.
    But what do they do when they have crowds of families every morning queuing up at there offices looking for family homes?
    They have nothing to offer them so it will be down the B&B and Cheap Hotel Routes.
    We will very quickly run out of them
    The Government and Councils had it easy with PRS LLs sorting out the housing needs of a large proportion of the rental sector.
    As a country we already spend in excess of £6 Million each and every day putting up the boat people in cheap hotels.
    This is nothing in comparison to what it will be when the PRS LLs pull out.
    We have propped the Government and Councils up for years and years. They have no housing stock and are not building any so that to me equates to a massive juggernaut of an issue coming there way very very soon.
    But They Know Best.

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    A great critique, if only we had ministers with a double digit IQ 🤔

     
    David Saunders

    Spot on Peter and in London the sxxt is already beginning to hit the fan.

     
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    True what you say. Government and councils are short sighted and lack vision. They do everything on hind sight. They are good at sitting together and discuss how and what to introduce from their hat that will hurt LLs and implement that without any discussion with landlords, other people involved in lettings. They will not wake up until the damage has been done and cannot be salvaged. The old LL's would have sold up and it would be difficult to retract. I am managing my own properties after continuing to get complaints from the tenants. Now I feel a finders fees charged by letting agents is very considering how little work they put into it. Then there is a renewal fees for doing nothing, which works out anything between £1,500 and £2,000. How do they justify it? They state it is karma if I do not pay. I say I never refused to pay, but since they are charging that amount for doing nothing, bad karma is directed by them.

     
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    Vibha, renewal fees of £1500 - £2000 ? who are you using? to find tenants, check them out, prepare tenancy agreement and a good inventory my agents charge me £450, then collecting the rent costs me 10% of the rent collected , my agents do a good job and I'm very happy with them

     
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    Andrew

    The £450 seems very fair but 10% for just collecting the rent seems a bit steep?

    One of the biggest Glasgow letting agents can be beaten down to 8% plus VAT for several properties for full management from tenant find to change over at the end of the tenancy.

     
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    Robert, Andrew, others,
    I've found the % agents charge for rent collecting etc. varies with competition amongst agents. One quoted me 12% for a small historic city, but 10% in the case of a south coast seaside town 9 miles away in which several agents operated (their reason for the reduction).
    In the seaside town I went with agents whose charges went down to 8% when I put a third property with them.
    As I get contacted by tenants with any problems direct, they don't have to do much work: which I'll tell them should they try to increase above 8% +£20pcm (the £20 flat rate after the tenant fee ban came in - which got passed on in rents, just as LLDs predicted to Govt. it would: there really is no such thing as a free lunch).

     
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    Robert, I look at the net amount of rent for each property that I receive after they have have taken their fees off, I'm happy with it

     
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    Businesses who service the lettings market are trying to be optimistic in order to prevent their backers pulling out.

  • George Dawes

    If my main one wasn’t owned by a limited company I’d have sold up years ago

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    One in 10 landlords set to quit says Agents gloomy forecast.
    OK as if the reason wasn’t known.
    The Permanent Eviction Ban that would explain it / Removal of Section 21.
    The root cause of the shortage / Homelessnesses and the misfortunate Tenants Sky high unaffordable Rents, (fairer renting haha).
    Well done Housing Secretary Mr Michael Gove you shouldn’t be in charge of a hen house.

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    Ah yes an Ombudsman just what we need as they say up North a Peeler.
    His brief has 8 brand new subjects, see them for yourself one of which is to find out information about the industry, no problem we can tell him or her a brand new person on the job that apparently knows nothing as he/she is to find out all this stuff. We can save them time it’s a well established Business.

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