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By Marc von Grundherr

Director, Benham & Reeves

OTHER FEATURES

Liz Truss and the Landlord Bonanza

There’s rather a lot going on in the economy as I write this and, by the time it is published, who on earth knows what will have happened politically? 

We may even have a new, new Prime Minister if the rumours of letters being submitted to the 1922 Committee already are true.

But hold on for a second, because for some the events of the last few days and weeks may be a positive thing. Just bear with me before you throw your phone at the wall.

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First, the negatives - and I write this from the point of view of a landlord (I am one) and an estate and lettings agent (I’m one of those too).

- Interest rates are, for now, higher and therefore so are variable rate and new fixed rate buy-to-let mortgages. 

- Property market sentiment has taken a hit and some so-called experts are predicting house prices will drop. The drooling sensationalism in the national news media does not help matters. 

Ok, all well and bad. 

But, actually not really.

You see, 55% of landlords have mortgages (Source: English Private Landlord Survey) and therefore 45% have no mortgage at all. Many that do have mortgages are on fixed rates and therefore the rate turbulence that we’re seeing will not affect their mortgage payments and so I estimate that around three-quarters of landlords are unaffected by base rate increases currently.

Moreover, even if prices fall (I don’t think they will albeit that the rate of growth will definitely reduce in the short term) then landlords only see that ‘paper-loss’ on disposal and therefore the loss is seldom actually realised. And so it’s not really a loss at all. 

And here are some further positives that you may not have considered… 

- Rents and therefore yields are rising, up 3.4% annually. And the rate of increase is growing compared to earlier this year. In fact London is seeing its strongest rate of rent growth since 2016. The East Midlands just saw an annual rate of increase of 4.5% as the country’s most buoyant region of all (Source: ONS).

- Tenant demand is climbing, reports the RICS UK Residential Market Survey (July).   

- Supply of stock will now be even lower as some cautious sellers sit on the fence wondering what to do. This will accentuate shortages and lead to upward pressure on prices. House builders release new builds when the market is buoyant and therefore they will rein in supply whilst the economy settles, thus creating further shortages. 

- Foreign buyers will be encouraged to invest in British property because the weak pound just made prices about 25% cheaper than a month ago for them. Expect to see the London market benefit the most from this. More overseas students too, buoyed that their money now goes further, will add to the tenancy demand pot. 

Reasons for optimism? Well yes compared to what’s on the news currently, relatively speaking.

It could be worse, we could have a Labour government and rent caps and higher taxes to deter us all as part of Keir Starmer’s pledge to increase UK homeownership from 63% to 70%, as he announced at the Labour Party conference. 

This would all be at the expense of the PRS, of course. 

But thankfully, this is a politician's pledge and we all know how worthwhile they are and so we needn’t worry too much about that.

So despite the current environment it's still great to be a landlord, isn’t it?

* Marc von Grundherr is Director of the London and International Estate and Letting Agency, Benham & Reeves * 

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    Wishfull thinking!

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    I hope the letters flood in to Sir Graham Brady. Deluded is Trusses vision. Give rich people money they keep it. Give to the less well off they spend it. And as usual nothing for landlords doing the governments job in providing Britain’s social housing.

  • Jason Flicker

    Your outlook is exactly why tenants have no sympathy for landlords. And, that's why we don't mind not paying you, it's also why we drag our heels in the eviction process to screw you over as much as possible. Landlords greed exploits the difficulty hardworking tenants face in buying a home, making almost impossible for them to do so. So rather than pay you lot, we save it up.

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    Tarring every LL with the same brush is not a very mature attitude. I respond quickly to all of my tenants problems and requests and sort them out asap. The majority of LLs do the same. Getting the chip off your shoulder and working with your LL will achieve a more positive result.

     
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    What a d**k you are. You have no idea how the system works against landlords and it's tenants like you who make it so difficult for decent hardworking tenants who do keep their end of the agreement they have signed up to. Go and crawl back under your rock. You might think its OK to screw your landlord over but one day you'll regret it. Bet you think it's OK to walk out of tesco too without paying? Go and find a job and make an honest person out of yourself, then maybe you'll be able to buy a place of your own... No... I thought not! 👍

     
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    Jason I share your view on this article but your words reflect very badly on you. YOU are the reason that Landlord's now rarely try to help their tenants, though some of us still do.
    It is a fact that many more tenants get on with their private Landlord than have issues with them. In the latest findings it was polled that 87% of tenants were ok with their Landlord.
    I would suggest that you reflect on this, but that is not to say that in your experiences you are in the 13% of tenants. But the answer is simple find a better Landlord, the problem now though is once a tenant has a good Landlord, they stay.
    From this you may be able to work out therefore how Landlord's mindsets work.

     
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    Don't need your sympathy Jason, I have 16 happy tenants causing me no problems, how do I do that ? by checking new tenants out very carefully, tenants such as yourself would never get across the threshold of any of my properties

     
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    One day you will screw over someone you shouldn’t. Oh to be a fly on the wall…

     
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    I have a studio flat in london with a very good tenant. My fixed rate mortgage is ending soon. My monthly mortgage is going up by £220. Even though I have not put the rent up for 6 years, I will have to now. I will be lucky to break even, should any major maintenance be required, I will be loosing money. I am considering selling, but I do not want to evict the tenant.

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    John - there's going to be a lot of us in a similar situation.
    I had long conversations with several of mine a few weeks ago and all of them were expecting rent increases (even though I've never increased their rents before). Some of them admitted to being very relieved we'd had the chat and that my ideas weren't as painful as the media had led them to believe.
    So think about it, talk to your tenants, listen to them and do what you need to do. Some of them are genuinely frightened of losing their homes at the moment. They know it would be incredibly hard to find anywhere else even at much higher rent.

     
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    I am in a similar problem John, and due to my age and that i am semi-retired I am finding it very difficult to re-mortgage. The other factor was that my rent's were too low.
    Thus far I have been lucky that I have had tenants give me notice and then I have sold, have 2 more going on sale this month.
    You need to do the math. If rates go to 6% base rate in the next 2 years can you afford the payments.
    Your only choice maybe to evict the tenants now whilst you can re-coup your costs!

     
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    John - It’s a business as we all know, if the sums don’t add up then you evict and sell… if not … try to register as a charity, because that is effectively what you then become.

     
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    Jason, you think you are so clever not paying your way while others work to put a roof over your head.
    Buy your own screw the lender see how you go on, you’ll be out in 2 months Flat.
    I’ll never understand why Landlords don’t have same rights.

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    Firstly it doesn't look like a bonanza to me, I don't want to put my rents up, but as I have mortgages I may have no choice.
    Secondly I have noticed a couple of annoying trolls on these pages lately, we really need to ignore them. This is a forum for landlords, hence it's called landlord today. I am sure there are plenty of other places for those who just want to "screw us over".
    Problem is they just make life more difficult for decent tenants because we have to be so careful these days, and all the pre tenancy checking does feel intrusive, but we can't take the risk of having to deal with the tenant from hell.

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    I do think prices will drop, yes there will be some who do not sell, but there always people who have no choice, the housing market is about to change again.

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    Simon, is right we are not a Charity although I may as well be, all my Rents are well below Market Rents as is the case with many landlords. Suppose we charge Market Rents or what current Rents are locally the Homeless figures would be much worse. We are the silent majority it seems to be a mind set, others with high Rents up them all the time and at every opportunity. Those are the landlords that’s giving rise to talk about Rent caps, if this happens we are the one left sitting at the bottom of the ladder and penalised further, no wonder there’s a surge in Rent increased recently by LL’s getting panicked by this talk.

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    That's exactly it Michael, when rent caps do come in, and they will, the low rents we will be stuck with, I don't like increasing rents for good existing tenants and try and keep those increases to a minimum, but when a tenant leaves the new rent increases to a market rent, I have even thought about increasing all rents to market rents on paper and then agreeing a discount to the good existing tenants, that way not having the property rent capped, might work ?

     
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    I am seriously below market rents many haven’t increased in 10 years while being eroded by inflation, extra costs and licensing Schemes the main driver of high rents. Seriously
    they then talk about high rent and rent caps that they created, while telling Tenants its the Landlords fault.

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    Really? I have two large HMOs which I seem to run for charitable purposes already, though that’s mainly because I’m on a repayment business loan. The electricity and gas bills are going nuts, now the interest rate on the loan is 5.5% thank god I paid half of it off over the last ten years. Biggest problem? The price setter is the LHA rate, which has increased by 5% in 12 years. My only option is to spruce it up and stop letting to social tenants.

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    Selective Licensing, just take a look on Government website if you want to know why they are saying they are bringing in the Scheme, or if you want to know the biggest lie ever told.
    It values the private rented sector and wants to see a strong, healthy & vibrant market. It’s aim is a bigger and better private rented sector that offers security, stability and decency.
    Is this compatible with driving out thousands of Private LL’s.
    Giving £1b fund build to rent to replace the Private landlords they have driven out.
    A further £3.5b private rented guarantee investment scheme to under pin investment.
    This is all to support and bring in the big boys to replace us obviously we are not getting any of this.
    They are also educating Tenants to destroy landlords, just further collusion… is it still not clear to you, some legalised corruption going on.

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    Micheal, where is the website. I assume dept of levelling up etc

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    Not a helpful article.

    1989 slump was caused by key costs going up via removal of tax relief … for this read mortgage interest rates tripling together with energy crisis.

    2007 slump due to banking crisis and world recession

    2022/23 all of the above and more!

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    “It could be worse, we could have a Labour government and rent caps and higher taxes”

    Substitute labour for SNP and this describes Scotland today. Plus an eviction ban.

    Demand for all properties is bound to fall due to the higher cost of loan finance. Landlords cashing in or selling due to fears about price falls or the generally crap outlook for the PRS will increase supply.

    And the mini budget didn’t really have any effect in Scotland (except ni reversal). We already have the 19% in place here (for a tiny slice of income) but we have a £43.6k higher rate tax threshold and higher rate is 41% then 46%. And then there’s our penal LBTT, how do you fancy 4% ADS, 10% over £325k and 12% over £750k?

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